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Recent Submissions

  • Sharing a quota on cumulative carbon emissions 

    Raupach, Michael R.; Davis, Steven J.; Peters, Glen Philip; Andrew, Robbie; Canadell, Josep G.; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Jotzo, Frank; Le Quéré, Corinne (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)
    Any limit on future global warming is associated with a quota on cumulative global CO2 emissions. We translate this global carbon quota to regional and national scales, on a spectrum of sharing principles that extends from ...
  • Uncertainties around reductions in China's coal use and CO 2 emissions 

    Korsbakken, Jan Ivar; Peters, Glen Philip; Andrew, Robbie (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2016)
    Chinese coal consumption dropped 2.9% in 2014 according to preliminary official statistics1 released in 2015. This was hailed as historic after China’s meteoric growth in the 2000s2. The International Energy Agency used ...
  • Regional temperature change potentials for short-lived climate forcers based on radiative forcing from multiple models 

    Aamaas, Borgar; Berntsen, Terje Koren; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Shine, Keith P; Collins, William J (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2017)
    We calculate the absolute regional temperature change potential (ARTP) of various short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) based on detailed radiative forcing (RF) calculations from four different models. The temperature response ...
  • A multimodel examination of climate Extremes in an idealized geoengineering experiment 

    Curry, Charles L.; Sillmann, Jana; Bronaugh, David; Alterskjær, Kari; Cole, Jason N.S.; Ji, Duoying; Kravitz, Ben; Kristjansson, Jon Egill; Moore, John C.; Muri, Helene Østlie; Niemeier, Ulrike; Robock, Alan; Tilmes, Simone; Yang, Shuting (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)
    Temperature and precipitation extremes are examined in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project experiment G1, wherein an instantaneous quadrupling of CO2 from its preindustrial control value is offset by a ...
  • Betting on negative emissions 

    Fuss, Sabine; Canadell, Josep G.; Peters, Glen Philip; Tavoni, M.; Andrew, Robbie; Ciais, Philippe; Jackson, Robert B.; Jones, Chris D.; Kraxner, Florian; Nakicenovic, Nebojsa; Le Quéré, Corinne; Raupach, Michael R.; Sharifi, Ayyoob; Smith, Pete; Yamagata, Yyoshiki (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)
    Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage could be used to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. However, its credibility as a climate change mitigation option is unproven and its widespread deployment in climate ...
  • Urban infrastructure choices structure climate solutions 

    Creutzig, Felix; Agoston, Peter; Minx, Jan C; Canadell, Josep G.; Andrew, Robbie; Le Quéré, Corinne; Peters, Glen Philip; Sharifi, Ayyoob; Yamagata, Yyoshiki; Dhakal, Shobhakar (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2016)
    Cities are becoming increasingly important in combatting climate change, but their overall role in global solution pathways remains unclear. Here we suggest structuring urban climate solutions along the use of existing and ...
  • Atmospheric methane evolution the last 40 years 

    Dalsøren, Stig Bjørløw; Myhre, Cathrine Lund; Myhre, Gunnar; Gomez-Pelaez, Angel J.; Søvde, Ole Amund; Isaksen, Ivar S A; Weiss, Ray F.; Harth, Christina M. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2016)
    Observations at surface sites show an increase in global mean surface methane (CH4) of about 180 parts per billion (ppb) (above 10 %) over the period 1984–2012. Over this period there are large fluctuations in the annual ...
  • Driving forces in energy-related carbon dioxide emissions in east and south coastal China: commonality and variations 

    Gao, Chaochao; Liu, Yonghong; Jin, Jun; Wei, Taoyuan; Zhang, Jianying; Zhu, Lizhong (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2016)
    As the world's top carbon dioxide emitter, China is expected to reach its emissions peak by 2030. East and south coastal China contribute nearly one-third of the emissions in China, and therefore play a critical role in ...
  • Climate scenarios demystified. A climate scenario guide for investors 

    Berg, Alexander O.; Clapp, Christa; Lannoo, Elisabeth; Peters, Glen (CICERO Report;2018:02, Research report, 2018-01-31)
  • GRACE model and applications 

    Aaheim, H. Asbjørn; Orlov, Anton; Wei, Taoyuan; Glomsrød, Solveig (CICERO Reports;2018:01, Research report, 2018-01-29)
    This report is a documentation of the GRACE model. GRACE is a computable general equilibrium model aimed at supporting studies of the global consequences of human activities that affect the drivers of climate change. The ...
  • Støtte til elektrisitetsproduksjon fra fornybare kilder. Er risiko et onde? 

    Linnerud, Kristin (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2016)
    Europakommisjonen ønsker mer bruk av markedsbaserte støtteordninger, slik som det norsk-svenske elsertifikatmarkedet. Likevel velger de fleste EU-land faste innmatingstariffer og tilsvarende støtteordninger som skjermer ...
  • Response to marine cloud brightening in a multi-model ensemble 

    Stjern, Camilla Weum; Muri, Helene; Ahlm, Lars; Boucher, Olivier; Cole, Jason N.S.; Ji, Duoying; Jones, Andy; Haywood, Jim M.; Kravitz, Ben; Lenton, Andrew; Moore, John C.; Niemeier, Ulrike; Phipps, Steven J.; Schmidt, Hauke; Watanabe, Shingo; Kristjansson, Jon Egill (Journal article, 2017)
    Here we show results from Earth System Model simulations from the marine cloud brightening experiment G4cdnc of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP). The nine contributing models prescribe a 50 % ...
  • Tropospheric ozone changes, radiative forcing and attribution to emissions in the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP) 

    Stevenson, D.S.; Young, P.J.; Naik, V.; Lamarque, J.-F.; Shindell, D.T.; Voulgarakis, A.; Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Dalsøren, Stig Bjørløw; Myhre, Gunnar; Berntsen, Terje Koren; Folberth, G.A.; Rumbold, S.T.; Collins, W.J.; MacKenzie, I.A.; Doherty, R.M.; Zeng, G.; van Noije, T.P.C; Strunk, A.; Bergmann, D.; Cameron-Smith, P.; Plummer, D.A.; Strode, S.A.; Horowitz, L.; Lee, Y.H.; Szopa, S.; Sudo, K.; Nagashima, T.; Josse, B.; Cionni, I.; Righi, M.; Eyring, V.; Conley, A.; Bowman, K.W.; Wild, O.; Archibald, A. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2013)
    Ozone (O3) from 17 atmospheric chemistry models taking part in the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP) has been used to calculate tropospheric ozone radiative forcings (RFs). All models ...
  • Preindustrial to present-day changes in tropospheric hydroxyl radical and methane lifetime from the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP) 

    Naik, V; Voulgarakis, A; Fiore, AM; Horowitz, LW; Lamarque, JF; Lin, M; Prather, MJ; Young, PJ; Bergmann, D; Cameron-Smith, PJ; Cionni, I; Collins, WJ; Dalsøren, Stig Bjørløw; Doherty, R; Eyring, V; Faluvegi, G; Folberth, GA; Josse, B; Lee, YH; MacKenzie, IA; Nagashima, T; van Noije, TPC; Plummer, DA; Righi, M; Rumbold, ST; Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Shindell, DT; Stevenson, DS; Strode, S; Sudo, K; Szopa, S; Zeng, G (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2013)
    We have analysed time-slice simulations from 17 global models, participating in the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP), to explore changes in present-day (2000) hydroxyl radical (OH) ...
  • CO2 emissions from biomass combustion for bioenergy: atmospheric decay and contribution to global warming 

    Cherubini, Francesco; Peters, Glen Philip; Berntsen, Terje Koren; Strømman, Anders Hammer; Hertwich, Edgar G. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2011)
    Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from biomass combustion are traditionally assumed climate neutral if the bioenergy system is carbon (C) flux neutral, i.e. the CO2 released from biofuel combustion approximately equals the ...
  • Fairness in the climate negotiations: what explains variation in parties’ expressed conceptions? 

    Tørstad, Vegard; Sælen, Håkon (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2017)
    How to differentiate efforts and obligations fairly between countries has been among the most central and controversial issues in climate negotiations. This article analyses countries’ fairness conceptions as expressed in ...
  • Pre-industrial to end 21st century projections of tropospheric ozone from the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP) 

    Young, P.J.; Archibald, A.T.; Bowman, K.W.; Lamarque, J. F.; Naik, V.; Stevenson, DS; Tilmes, S.; Voulgarakis, A.; Wild, O.; Bergmann, D; Cameron-Smith, Philip J.; Cionni, Irene; Collins, WJ; Dalsøren, Stig Bjørløw; Doherty, RM; Eyring, V; Faluvegi, G; Horowitz, LW; Josse, B.; Lee, YH; MacKenzie, IA; Nagashima, T; Plummer, D. A.; Righi, M.; Rumbold, Steven T.; Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Shindell, DT; Strode, S.A.; Sudo, K; Szopa, S; Zeng, Guangming (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2013)
    Present day tropospheric ozone and its changes between 1850 and 2100 are considered, analysing 15 global models that participated in the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP). The ensemble ...
  • Predicting Paris: Multi-Method Approaches to Forecast the Outcomes of Global Climate Negotiations 

    Sprinz, Detlef; de Mesquita, Bruce Bueno; Kallbekken, Steffen; Stokman, Frans; Sælen, Håkon; Thomson, Robert (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2016)
    We examine the negotiations held under the auspices of the United Nations Framework Convention of Climate Change in Paris, December 2015. Prior to these negotiations, there was considerable uncertainty about whether an ...

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