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The Effect of plant downsizing on disability pension utilization

Rege, Mari; Telle, Kjetil; Votruba, Mark
Working paper
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http://hdl.handle.net/11250/180237
Issue date
2005
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Abstract
Abstract:

We investigate the impact of plant downsizing on disability pension utilization in Norway. Plant

downsizing substantially increases the disability entry rate of workers in affected plants. Workers

originally employed in plants that closed between 1993 and 1998 were 27.9 percent more likely to

utilize disability pensions in 1999 than comparable workers in non-downsizing plants. The effect of

downsizing is non-linear, with workers originally employed in plants downsizing 65-95 percent of their

workforce more likely to enter disability than workers in fully closing plants. This is consistent with the

signaling story of Gibbons and Katz (1991). We also estimate significant effects of downsizing on

future earnings and mortality, suggesting the increase in disability participation could be driven by an

adverse effect of downsizing on the economic opportunities or health of affected workers.

Keywords: disability, social insurance, downsizing, layoffs, plant closings
Publisher
Statistics Norway, Research Department
Series
Discussion Papers;No. 435

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