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Global per capita CO2 emissions - stable in the long run?

Holtsmark, Bjart
Working paper
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http://hdl.handle.net/11250/180203
Issue date
2005
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  • Discussion Papers [562]
Abstract
Abstract:

Global per capita CO2 emissions have been relatively stable during the last decades. It has been

suggested that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and its scenario makers

have ignored this stability. This paper presents a simple analytical framework explaining generally

the stability of global per capita CO2 emissions during the last decades. The same analytical

framework, supported by numerical illustrations, indicates that this stability is unlikely to persist and

that current trends in regional per capita emissions are in close agreement with the IPCC scenarios.

Keywords: Global carbon emissions, SRES, IPCC, scenarios.
Publisher
Statistics Norway, Research Department
Series
Discussion Papers;No. 438

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